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NFL Week 13 Betting Guide: Spread, moneyline, over/under picks

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NFL Week 13 Betting Guide: Spread, moneyline, over/under picks

Fresh off the longest Week 12 in NFL history, the 2020 season triumphantly stumbles on toward the home stretch. The league has endured countless unprecedented circumstances this year, and the last 10 days may have presented as many logistical challenges as the COVID-19 vaccine distribution plans. But the show must go on, and the Week 13 schedule features 30 of 32 teams (Carolina and Tampa Bay have very late bye weeks). With such an abundant slate of contests—many of which hold major playoff implications—there will be plenty of edges to attack for moneyline, spread, and over/under bettors.

Every week, we are here to break down our favorite bets, weaving in a preview of exclusive data from BetQL. A web and app platform that simplifies the research process for sports bettors, BetQL provides real-time line movements, value bets of the day, and meaningful team trends.

I wish you all the best of luck—may all your bets be as much of a lock as the Saints against the Kendall Hinton-led Broncos last weekend (sorry, Denver… too soon, I know).

All data presented is as of Friday morning. You can track all NFL line movement on BetQL’s Line Movement Dashboard.

WEEK 13 FANTASY PPR RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker

All data presented is as of Friday morning. You can track all NFL line movement on BetQL’s Line Movement Dashboard.

NFL Week 13 Betting Picks: Spread pick of the week

Texans +3.5 vs. Colts

This is BetQL’s free game of the week, so go ahead and check out all our premium data now! Dynamic Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson has played exquisite football as of late, leading Houston to three victories in its past four games while throwing 15 touchdowns and no interceptions. It’s almost as if the midseason firing of Texans coach Bill O’Brien lit a motivational spark under the two-time Pro Bowler. (Why didn’t the entire city of Houston come up with that idea? Hmm…)

The Colts have featured an elite defense this season, but they could be without key difference-makers on Sunday, including breakout linebacker Bobby Okereke (ankle) and star defensive tackle DeForest Buckner (COVID-19). A 6-7, 300-pound behemoth with superb intangibles, Buckner leads the Colts with 16 QB hits. His skills in both the pass and rush defense were sorely missed when Indy got walloped 45-26 by Tennessee at home last weekend. The Titans accumulated 449 total yards (229 yards and four TDs on the ground), committed no turnovers, and allowed just one sack for a one-yard loss.

Now consider the fact that veteran Colts QB Philip Rivers could be without Pro Bowl center Ryan Kelly (neck) and two-time All-Pro guard Quenton Nelson (back). Superstar Texans defensive end J.J. Watt, who had a pick-six in Houston’s 41-25 beatdown of the Lions on Thanksgiving, must be salivating at the thought of Ol’ Man Rivers behind a banged-up line. Despite Houston losing top wide receiver Will Fuller to suspension (banned substances), we’ll go against 82 percent of sharp money and take the red-hot Texans +3.5 at home with 10 days of rest.

WEEK 13 FANTASY: Sleepers | Busts | Start ’em, sit ’em

NFL Week 13 Betting Picks: Moneyline pick of the week

Cardinals (+130) vs. Rams

Bettors nationwide seem pretty confident Arizona will lose its third-consecutive game (and fourth in five weeks), as 75 percent of sharp money is currently on the Rams moneyline. But perhaps reports of the Cardinals’ demise may be a tad overstated, especially coming home after a tough two-game road trip that featured stops in New England and Seattle.

Do you really want to bet against second-year superstar QB Kyler Murray and All-Pro receiver DeAndre Hopkins, at home in a must-win game? The Cardinals have averaged 33.3 points in their past three home games, and they upset the Seahawks 37-34 the only time oddsmakers listed them as home underdogs (Week 7, +6.5).

It’s been over three weeks since Murray suffered a mild AC joint sprain in his shoulder, so he should be close to fully healed. Arizona may need him to get back to using his legs to make plays. The 2019 Rookie of the Year has passed for and run for touchdowns in a whopping eight games this season (one game away from history), and the Cardinals have lost all three of the games in which he failed to accomplish that feat. The Rams have already lost two games to mobile QBs this season, falling 28-17 to rookie Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins on Nov. 1 and falling short 35-32 to Josh Allen’s Bills in Week 3. LA has a good pass rush, but it feasts on slower-footed QBs, not young speedsters with cannons for arms.

Unless something is really wrong with Murray (in which case, he would likely not be playing), I fully expect the Cardinals to come out firing for the big divisional upset this week. If the Rams are capable of losing at home last week to the injury-ravaged 49ers, they are no lock whatsoever to travel to Arizona and take a must-win game away from the Cards. Watch for Hopkins to go off, as he enjoyed averages of 6.5 receptions and 77.8 yards per game against Jalen Ramsey while playing with the Texans. The BetQL Best Bet Model lists Arizona +3 with a four-star rating, but I like the value presented by the Cards moneyline at +130. I have Murray and Company prevailing 28-24, getting back in the headlines for making the NFC West as interesting as ever.

WEEK 13 NFL DFS: Best stacks | Best values | Lineup Builder

NFL Week 13 Betting Picks: Over/under pick of the week

Seahawks vs. Giants: UNDER 47

The Seahawks were one of the worst defenses of the first half of the season, a huge surprise for a team coached by Pete Carroll. They have been one of the best defenses so far in the second half of the season. Only in 2020, right?

Credit John Schneider for the genius move that sparked this change of defensive fate. In late October, the longtime Seahawks GM acquired veteran defensive end Carlos Dunlap from the Bengals, with whom the pass-rusher had become disgruntled. Dunlap has been elated in Seattle, with 3.5 sacks, seven QB hits, and five tackles for loss in his first four games. In just one quarter of the season, his impact has vaulted Seattle from the bottom-third in the NFL in total sacks to seventh overall.

It’s worth noting that Dunlap suffered a foot injury in the 23-17 Seahawks win in Philly last week, but Carroll recently mentioned that it doesn’t seem too serious. If Dunlap’s a full go on Sunday, expect Seattle’s defensive success to continue thanks to him, stud safety Jamal Adams, and the veteran linebacker tandem of Bobby Wagner and K.J. Wright. Ken Norton’s squad finally has an identity, and now it gets a home matchup with a Giants team that has scored an NFC-worst 214 points.

Don’t get us wrong, New York has played well during their three-game winning streak and deserves the top spot in the NFC East as much as anyone. In fact, the Giants defense has been one of the better units in the league. But they have four total wins, against teams with a combined record of 9-23. They are 2-4 away from the Meadowlands, and they will more than likely be without quarterback Daniel Jones (hamstring) for the second-straight game. Sterling Shepard (toe/shoulder) and Darius Slayton (shoulder/foot), New York’s top receivers, are also listed as questionable. Wayne Gallman has looked good out of the backfield lately, but he’s no Saquon Barkley, and the Seahawks haven’t allowed a back to reach 40 yards rushing since Week 7. Gallman and Engram will have to deal with a motivated and momentum-fueled Seattle front-seven.

In case you need more support for this pick, take a look at the numbers. Games involving the G-Men this year have averaged a total of just 42.5 points per game, and the UNDER has hit in seven of their 11 matchups. Meanwhile, Seattle games have finished at 40 or fewer points in two of its last three weeks, and the Seahawks haven’t given up more than 27 points at home since Week 3. Russell Wilson should control the time of possession, and help Seattle coast to a victory over the Colt McCoy-led Giants, 27-17. 

Head over to BetQL to see our model’s best bet, sharp data and much more for this game and every Week 13 contest! You can find all updated NFL lines, spreads, and odds at BetQL!

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What NBA games are on today? TV schedule, times, channels for MLK Day basketball 2021

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What NBA games are on today? TV schedule, times, channels for MLK Day basketball 2021

The NBA’s Martin Luther King Jr. Day tradition continues this year with a nine-game slate featuring some of the league’s top stars.

It all starts at Madison Square Garden with a Monday afternoon game between the Magic and Knicks followed by a contest between the Timberwolves and Hawks in Atlanta, the birthplace of MLK. There will be five nationally-televised matchups (two on NBA TV, three on TNT), including a battle of former MVPs as Stephen Curry’s Warriors take on LeBron James’ Lakers to close out the evening.

Here’s everything you need to know about watching NBA games on MLK Day, including a full schedule with TV channels and start times.

MORE: Watch select NBA games live with fuboTV (7-day free trial)

NBA schedule 2021: What games are on today?

Monday, Jan. 18

(All times Eastern)

Game Time Channel
Magic vs. Knicks Noon NBA TV
Timberwolves vs. Hawks 2:30 p.m. NBA TV
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers 3 p.m.
Suns vs. Grizzlies 5 p.m. TNT
Bucks vs. Nets 7:30 p.m. TNT
Mavericks vs. Raptors 7:30 p.m.
Pistons vs. Heat* 8 p.m.
Rockets vs. Bulls 8 p.m.
Warriors vs. Lakers 10 p.m. TNT

*Pistons vs. Heat, originally scheduled for 3 p.m. ET, was delayed in order to allow for more COVID-19 testing to be processed, according to The Associated Press’ Tim Reynolds.

NBA games postponed on MLK Day 2021

As of Sunday night, Cavs vs. Wizards is the only game that has been removed from the MLK Day schedule. Due to contact tracing within the team, Washington does not have the minimum number of players required to play the game.

“We have nine players right now that are in protocol. Six have tested positive for COVID-19,” Wizards general manager Tommy Sheppard said Friday. “We are certainly not gonna be able to play these games on Sunday and Monday. … It’s just an unfortunate set of circumstances.”

How to live stream NBA games

If you’re a cord cutter who is desperate to watch some hoops, don’t worry. You can still keep up with NBA action through these streaming services:

NBA scores, results for MLK Day

You can keep up with live scores and stats with SN’s live scoreboard.

Game
Knicks 91, Magic 84
Timberwolves vs. Hawks
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Suns vs. Grizzlies
Bucks vs. Nets
Mavericks vs. Raptors
Pistons vs. Heat
Rockets vs. Bulls
Warriors vs. Lakers

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Tennessee’s 9 best coaching candidates to replace fired Jeremy Pruitt

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Tennessee's 9 best coaching candidates to replace fired Jeremy Pruitt

Tennessee is reportedly parting ways with Jeremy Pruitt after a three-year stint was doomed from the start.  

Pruitt was a hired after a disastrous coaching search in 2018. He finished with a 16-18 record the last three seasons. The football program is currently under investigation for alleged recruiting violations during Pruitt’s tenure. Athletic director Phil Fulmer also retired as part of the overhaul.

Kevin Steele reportedly will serve as interim coach. If Steele isn’t the answer, then who is? 

Tennessee will need a more-focused coaching search this time to find out. Here is a closer look at the possible candidates:  

MORE: Every college football coaching change in 2020-21

(Getty Images)

Top Tennessee coach candidates 

Gus Malzahn  

Malzahn would be the ultimate safe pick. Auburn parted ways with Malzahn after eight seasons, a run that included a SEC championship in 2013 and SEC championship appearance in 2017. Malzahn won the Iron Bowl three times. Tennessee has not beat Alabama since 2006. Steele joined Tennessee’s staff last week, too. Is this the not-so-awkward transition that keeps Malzahn in the SEC?  

Hugh Freeze  

Freeze might be the more-popular choice in Knoxville. Freeze is a bright offensive mind that led Liberty to a 10-1 record last season. He had success on the field at Ole Miss, a run that included a Sugar Bowl run in 2015. The Rebels, however, were hit with NCAA sanctions that resulted in Freeze’s dismissal. Can Tennessee really hire Freeze while the program is under investigation?  

Joe Brady  

Why not? Brady revamped LSU’s offense in one year, and it led to one of the best seasons of all time. Brady spent last season with the Carolina Panthers, and he’s a sought-after coach at both levels. Brady, 31, has never been a huge coach. It’s a risk, but it would be one worth taking.  

Getty Images

Group of 5 candidates  

Billy Napier  

Would Tennessee take another chance on a former Saban assistant? Napier is 28-11 the last three seasons at Louisiana, and it’s a matter of time before he takes on a Power 5 job. Napier was rumored to be a candidate for the Auburn job, but he turned that down. Is Tennessee a better fit?  

Bill Clark  

Clark is the other coach from a Group of 5 school that could turn up. He revived UAB into a Conference-USA championship program, and he’s done that with a player-friendly culture that earned him SN Coach of the Year honors in 2018. Clark also was a candidate for the Auburn job. Would be more interested in Tennessee?  

Jamey Chadwell  

Chadwell is going to draw some interest knowing he led the Chanticleers to an 11-1 record this season, which earned him SN Coach of the Year honors. Coastal Carolina played an exciting blend of football on both sides, and Chadwell is moving up the coaching ranks. Is he that different than Napier or Clark?  

(Getty Images)

Wild cards  

Lane Kiffin  

Kiffin already laughed at the idea.  

Kiffin had a one-year stint with Tennessee in 2009 before bolting for USC, and the idea of a second chance is laughable, right? Kiffin finished 5-5 in his first season with Ole Miss, where he renovated the offense and won a bowl game against Indiana. Kiffin would be a bold move, but there is no doubt the track record of success.  

Tom Herman  

Herman likely wouldn’t excite the fanbase given the end of his tenure at Texas. Herman compiled a 32-18 record with the Longhorns, and he upgraded the recruiting with the program. Herman, however, lost too many close games, and the pressure in Knoxville isn’t that much different than Austin when it comes to through-the-roof-expectations. Herman would feel more like a consolation prize compared to the other names on this list. 

Scott Satterfield  

Satterfield would have been a good hire the last time. He’s 12-12 the last two seasons at Louisville, but the track record at Appalachian State before that suggests there will be more success on the way. Given the mess he inherited at Louisville, Satterfield set the bar too high early. He would be a good fit at Tennessee.  

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Deshaun Watson trade rumor tracker: Timeline of dysfunction details Texans’ rift with franchise QB

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Deshaun Watson trade rumor tracker: Timeline of dysfunction details Texans' rift with franchise QB

Not so elementary, my dear Watson.

The yearslong odyssey for the Texans to find a true franchise passer culminated in Houston selecting the Deshaun Watson out of Clemson in the first round of the 2017 NFL Draft, but it looks like the pairing will soon come to an end, with tumult surrounding the quarterback and the franchise leading to lots of smoke and trade rumors.

With organizational chaos dooming the Texans in the last two seasons, ownership reportedly over-relying on the voice and opinions of Jack Easterby and reportedly completely ignoring the voice of Watson, it’s hard to fault Watson for wanting out. He’s a top-five quarterback coming off his best season, still young and with a contract that will prove to be a bargain in a few years.

Total organizational instability — from the top down — has led Watson to, reportedly, being incredibly pissed off and ready to move on from the team that drafted him in 2017. Here’s a timeline of reports and other rumors that detail the interworkings of the Texans organization and Watson’s displeasure with the situation.

MORE: Here are Deshaun Watson’s best trade fits, from Jets to Dolphins

(Getty Images)

Deshaun Watson trade rumors

Jan. 18: ‘Great lather’ to get Watson out, but leverage in his favor

Source: Josina Anderson, ESPN

Anderson reminds everyone a key point: Watson has a no-trade clause, and it’s not entirely in the Texans’ best interest to trade away a superstar of Watson’s caliber. In any case, it’s a weak argument, especially if the team is going to continue to do poorly by its star player.

Jan. 18: Watson has yet to ask for a trade

Source: Ian Rapoport, NFL Network

Despite all the smoke surrounding Watson and the Texans at the moment, the superstar QB has yet to ask for a trade, per Rapoport. That hasn’t stopped teams from calling to check on Watson’s availability, though, 

Jan. 17: Watson has ‘played his last snap for Houston’

Source: Adam Schefter/Chris Mortensen, ESPN

If the weeks of turmoil and confusion have left any doubt about Watson’s future in Houston, ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported that some people surrounding the Texans organization feel Watson won’t play another down for the team. A source close to Chris Mortensen added that the only remedy for the situation between Watson and the Texans would be for owner Cal McNair to fire … Cal McNair.

Schefter also added that “Watson’s feelings cannot and should not be underestimated.” Whatever that means.

(Getty Images)

Jan. 16: Watson ‘just wants out’ of Houston

Source: Greg Bishop, Jenny Vrentas, Sports Illustrated

Despite the Texans making moves to try and appease their disgruntled quarterback, Watson just wants out of H-Town, per SI. A culmination of the coaching and GM search and general organizational dysfunction has led to Watson taking a hard stance on his status with the team: Just get me out of here.

Jan. 15: A single tweet sets NFL world on fire

Source: Deshaun Watson’s Twitter

Coming from a Schefter report that Watson’s anger was “at a 2, but now a 10,” the Texans QB sends out a single tweet that seems to confirm this. A later tweet would actually indicate that these were actually song lyrics. (Sure, Deshaun.)

MORE: Deshaun Watson’s latest tweet sends Twitter back into trade frenzy

Jan. 15: Watson photographed in Falcons gear

Source: Instagram

A curious wardrobe decision by Watson, with a photo on an Instagram story showing Watson in a Falcons jacket, coincidentally, outside of a building in New York City. Watson is a Georgia native and likely grew up a Falcons fan.

It’s just a jacket, but let your imagination run wild.

Jan. 12: Texans request interview for Chiefs OC Eric Bieniemy

Source: Ian Rapoport, NFL Network

The Chiefs OC is a hot commodity on the coaching scene, and was even recommended to Watson by some guy named Patrick Mahomes. While the Chiefs hadn’t initially put in an interview with Bieniemy — missing the window in which coordinators can interview during the playoffs — new GM Nick Caserio is interested in speaking with him. Because of tampering policies, the Texans won’t be allowed to speak with Bieniemy until after the Chiefs are eliminated.

Jan. 12: Andre Johnson speaks, offers Watson advice

Source: Andre Johnson via Twitter

In the words of Deandre Hopkins, when ‘Dre speaks, we listen. The former Texans wide receiver took to Twitter to offer Watson some sage advice: Stand your ground. He also roasted the Texans and their devotion to Jack Easterby, who many question 

MORE: Andre Johnson thinks Deshaun Watson is right to turn on ‘pathetic’ Texans

Jan. 10: Watson’s anger reaching boiling point

Source: Adam Schefter, ESPN

Heads exploded when then head coach/GM Bill O’Brien opted to trade star wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins to the Cardinals, with Watson himself taking the trade in stride. ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports that Watson’s anger vaulted from a “2 to a 10” with the organization opting not to hire ESPN analyst and former front-office exec Louis Riddick to its GM role.

Jan. 10: More details emerge about rift; Dolphins could be a trade destination

Source: Chris Mortensen, ESPN

If Watson were to be moved, then the Dolphins could be a viable destination for a trade, according to ESPN’s Chris Mortensen. Miami, who holds Houston’s first-round pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, would reportedly be open to trading quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and trade assets in exchange for Watson, per Mortensen.

(Getty Images)

Jan. 7: The Texans name Nick Caserio new GM

Source: “Literally us, the  Houston Texans.”

A major part of the reported rift between Watson and the Texans surrounded Houston naming a general manager without Watson’s input, a promise that had been supposedly made to Watson during the season. Instead, owner Cal McNair Jr. and Jack Easterby.

MORE: Ranking the NFL’s head-coaching vacancies

Jan. 5: J.J. Watt offers an ominous apology 

Source: JJ Watt’s mouth

After the Texans fell in Week 17 to the Titans in Week 17, NFL cams caught JJ Watt and Deshaun Watson in a candid moment as the two were walking off the field. “I’m sorry, I’m sorry,” Watt said. “We wasted one of your years.” The Texans would finish 4-12.

Oct. 5: Texans fire Bill O’Brien

Source: “Literally us, the  Houston Texans.”

Well, about a year, many losses and one too many trades too late, the Texans decided to fire head coach/general manager Bill O’Brien after a sluggish start to their 2020 season. The team would name Romeo Crennel the interim head coach.

O’Brien’s tenure as HC would be mired in personnel controversies and several lopsided trades that leave the Texans without a first-round pick in 2021. 

April 2019: Jack Easterby hired by Houston

Source: The Texans

“I think the best way to tell the story is by starting at the end, briefly, then going back to the beginning, and then periodically returning to the end, maybe giving different characters’ perspectives throughout.” — “The Other Guys,” 2010

Arguably the genesis of the chaos in Houston was the hiring of Patriots team chaplain — later “character coach,” whatever that is — as its executive vice president of football operations.

Easterby’s meteoric rise to a such a high office in an NFL franchise is met with skepticism from all avenues, and would come back to haunt the team later.

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