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Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks: Best value players, sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy football lineups



Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks: Best value players, sleepers for DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy football lineups

After a wild-card weekend that can only be described as “interesting,” the 2020 NFL Playoffs now jump right into the divisional round. Not everyone seemed to be a fan of the expanded bracket last week, but it certainly provided a full slate for DFS managers. The depth charts of eight teams now remain, and whether you play on DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo, you will need to choose each roster spot wisely to bring in some daily fantasy football winnings before Super Bowl Sunday on Feb. 7.

My job, all 17 regular-season weeks and now two weeks into the postseason, is to scan the vast projections on RotoQL and pick my favorite sleepers and value picks. If you checked this column out last week, you would have benefited from our advice to plug in the following players (all wild-card weekend prices and fantasy points production via DraftKings):

  • Ben Roethlisberger ($6,100): 41.1 fantasy points
  • Drew Brees ($5,700): 18.8
  • Nick Chubb ($6,700): 24.5
  • Jonathan Taylor ($7,900): 14.6
  • Chase Claypool ($5,200): 22.9
  • Marquise Brown ($5,400): 19.8
  • Logan Thomas ($4,900): 12.4

These players all vastly outperformed their price tiers, with a few even leading their positions for the week. By finding such great values at modest costs, DFS managers afforded themselves even more consistent studs in other roster spots.


You can read divisional round weekend previews and fantasy prediction articles 24/7 on BetQL, find out which side the pros are betting on their NFL expert picks dashboard, follow all the NFL public betting data, and build DraftKings lineups on RotoQL. 

Let’s break down our top divisional round DFS value plays, and you can get an idea of why 100,000 DFS players trust RotoQL to build lineups. We constantly monitor pricing and provide the most up-to-date insight and analysis to maximize your lineup success. Optimize, find value plays, and increase your chances of cashing today! 

Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks: QB sleepers, values

Baker Mayfield, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefst (DK: $5,300 | FD: $7,400)

In one of the more shocking developments of wild-card weekend, Mayfield and the Browns absolutely laid the hammer down on the Steelers. In the 48-37 barnburner, Mayfield passed for 263 yards and three touchdowns and finished with a 115.2 QB rating against a Steelers defense ranked top three in points, yards, and passing. The 2018 No. 1 pick has clearly taken a huge step forward in his third season, and he proved last week that he can be more than a game manager in big games against good defenses. Now he gets to prove himself on an even larger stage, going up against 2018 MVP Patrick Mahomes and his defending-champion Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City ranks 26th in fantasy points allowed to QBs, and Arrowhead will be at limited capacity. RotoQL projects Mayfield at 15.4 fantasy points with a 33.5-point ceiling. I think Baker cooks up another 20-plus points this week and maybe even serves up another upset.

Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DK: $5,600 | FD: $7,300)

Cue the “History Channel” quips surrounding this game, as starting QBs Brees and Tom Brady will have a combined age of 85 at kickoff. Brees actually turns 42 on Friday, and he’s clearly put his punctured lung and 11 broken ribs in the rear-view mirror. He has averaged 18.08 fantasy points since his Week 15 return from IR, and he logged 23.68 points against the Bucs in Tampa back in Week 9. Don’t tell my Brady-obsessed friends in New England, but I think Brees leads New Orleans back to the NFC Championship Game for the second time in three years (and only the third time since the Super Bowl-winning 2009 Saints). Consider riding the birthday boy in the battle of the elder statesmen.

SATURDAY DIVISIONAL ROUND DFS: DraftKings | FanDuel (coming soon)

Divisional Round DraftKings, FanDuel Picks: RB sleepers, values

Cam Akers, Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers (DK: $5,700 | FD: $7,000)

Akers powered LA to a stunning 30-20 upset over the Seahawks in Seattle last week, with the rookie netting 176 scrimmage yards and a score. He has been an absolute stud since Week 12, averaging 17.1 PPR points per game in that span. Regardless of who starts under center for the Rams this week, Akers seems like too much of a value to pass up at $5,700. Green Bay’s defense ranks 28th in fantasy points allowed to RBs this season. RotoQL projects him to score 14.7 points with a 28.6-point ceiling.

Kareem Hunt, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $4,800 | FD: $6,200)

Hunt narrowly missed my list last week, as he let me down after I featured him one week prior in a meaningless Week 17 dud game. He promptly scored 19.1 PPR points in wild-card weekend, helping Mayfield and the Browns steamroll their way into the divisional round. Hunt’s dual-threat talent, in a game projected to total over 55 points, should pique the interest of savvy DFS managers. The Chiefs rank 25th against RBs in fantasy, and their defense could be rusty after sitting some studs in Week 17 ahead of their first-round playoff bye. Kansas City allowed the Chargers to rack up 135 yards and two touchdowns on the ground in Week 17 and nearly surrendered 2,000 total rushing yards during the regular season. Hunt and lead back Nick Chubb will be very busy, win or lose. RotoQL lists his ceiling at 29 fantasy points.

High-risk, high-reward pick:

Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens (DK: $4,500 | FD: $5,700)

Rookie back Zack Moss suffered a postseason-ending ankle injury last week, leaving QB Josh Allen with Singletary as the bellcow of the backfield. The Ravens defense is stout but will be primarily focusing its attention on Allen’s high-flying passing game. There’s some boom appeal here, as Singletary is capable of racking up some yards out of the backfield or in the screen game.

SUNDAY DIVISIONAL ROUND DFS: DraftKings | FanDuel (coming soon)

Divisional Round FanDuel, DraftKings Picks: WR sleepers, values

Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints (DK: $6,100 | FD: $7,500)

While Mike Evans, Antonio Brown, and Rob Gronkowski seem to get the most buzz in Tampa, Tom Brady’s best receiver is Godwin. He’s a great route-runner, and he’s sure-handed. With his midseason thumb injury now a distant memory, Godwin has averaged 23.8 PPR points over the Bucs’ past three games. He saw 28 targets from Brady in that span, including a whopping 12 last week in the 31-23 win over Washington. Brady should keep his new favorite wideout busy again this week, with Evans likely blanketed by familiar foe Marshon Lattimore.

Jarvis Landry, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $5,600 | FD: $6,900)

All aboard the Browns bandwagon! I hate to keep bringing up Cleveland players here, but I just can’t look the other way from some of these prices. Landry has averaged 18.5 PPR points in the Browns’ past three games and nearly 20 points per game over their past six. Among Cleveland receivers, he’s the undisputed leader in snaps, target share, and production. Mayfield will be slinging the ball early and often, and Landry will once again benefit. Kansas City has a good pass defense, but so did Pittsburgh the last couple weeks.

High-risk, high-reward pick:

Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams (DK: $3,800 | FD: $5,500)

MVS has been one of the more volatile boom-or-bust receivers in the NFL this season, but MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers always seems to send the deep ball his way in big games. The third-year receiver logged 17.1 fantasy points in Week 17 and averaged a league-leading 20.9 yards per catch on the year. If you’re strapped with just the flex position left, Valdes-Scantling might be worth the bargain-bin buy.

FULL-SLATE DIVISIONAL ROUND DFS: DraftKings | FanDuel (coming soon)

Divisional Round NFL DFS Picks: TE sleepers, values

Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills (DK: $5,000 | FD: $6,600)

Andrews serves as one of the few reliable tight ends in fantasy, and he now draws a Bills defense that has been the second-most generous to the position this season. He has been fairly quiet the past couple weeks, but his floor remains higher than anyone else at or below his price range, and he will be busy in what should be a high-scoring game. Fire him up if you don’t have the dough for Travis Kelce.

Austin Hooper, Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (DK: $3,800 | FD: $5,500)

I know, I know — I look like I belong in the Dawg Pound (and I’ll be in the dog house if Cleveland lays an egg this week). But in Cleveland’s past four games, Hooper has scored 15.1, 14.1, 13.7, and, most recently, 17.6 PPR points. That’s awesome consistency from a guy who plays a position largely devoid of consistent studs. Scoop up Hoop.

BetQL, RotoQL’s sister product, simplifies the research process for sports bettors by equipping them with real-time line movements, value bets of the day and meaningful team trends. Check it out here!

Divisional Round NFL DFS values: D/ST sleepers

Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens (DK: $2,900 | FD: $4,000)

Leslie Frazier’s defense has been one of the surprises of the second half of the 2020 season, and RotoQL lists it as the best value of the sub-$3,000 units on DraftKings. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens have been much more mistake-prone this season than last, and they will have to throw the ball early and often to stand a chance against Josh Allen in Buffalo. I like the upside here.

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Divisional Round Sunday DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS lineup advice for daily fantasy football playoff tournaments



Divisional Round Sunday DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS lineup advice for daily fantasy football playoff tournaments

You know it’s going to be tough to build a DFS playoff lineup when your first choice is between three future Hall-of-Fame QBs and another one who was a top overall pick just a few years ago. That’s what daily fantasy football players are dealing with on Sunday’s two-game divisional round slate, as Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, and Baker Mayfield are all viable QB plays when factoring in prices and matchups. From there, things only get tougher, as the defenses for each team present unique challenges and lineup-building opportunities for DraftKings tournaments.

As always, DraftKings pricing is tight, forcing you to take at least a few chances. Our big risks come at WR/flex, where we’re counting on two boom-or-bust pass-catchers, but with a strong foundation that’s tailored to DraftKings scoring, we feel like this lineup has a great opportunity to cash. 

MORE DIVISIONAL ROUND DFS: Top values | Lineup Builder

Divisional Round Sunday DraftKings Picks: NFL DFS tournament playoff lineup

QB Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs vs. Browns ($7,900). Mahomes is $1,700 more expensive than Tom Brady, $2,400 more than Drew Brees, and $2,700 more than Baker Mayfield, so all of those QBs offer more value. But none offer the same type of ceiling as Mahomes, who absolutely tore up the playoffs last year with at least 286 passing yards, 29 rushing yards, and three total TDs in every game. Given the highly favorable matchup and the Chiefs issues at RB, you can bet he’ll be asked to do a lot once again.

RB Kareem Hunt, Browns @ Chiefs ($4,800). Hunt is priced as the RB7 this week, which seems low considering Cleveland could be forced to pass more in the second half. Either way, Hunt should make the most of his seven-to-10 carries and three-to-five targets against Kansas City’s lackluster run defense, and he’s just as likely to score as teammate Nick Chubb. Take the value here.


RB Alvin Kamara, Saints vs. Buccaneers ($7,600). There are plusses and minuses to using Kamara on DraftKings. The main plus is that he gets a full point per reception; the biggest minus is he’s unlikely to hit 100 yards as a runner (just once all year) or receiver (once). Of course, he’s one of the few backs in the league who could hit 100 yards as both a runner and receiver in the same game, but given Tampa’s strong run defense, we’re not betting on that. Either way, he has a high floor thanks to his receiving ability (at least five catches in both games against Tampa this year) and touchdown potential (league-leading 21 scores). With so many questions in both Kansas City’s and Tampa’s backfields, Kamara is a safe “chalk” pick, even at his high price.

WR Chris Godwin, Buccaneers @ Saints ($5,700). Mike Evans led the Bucs in catches (6) and yards (119) last week, but it was Godwin who led in targets (12) and scored one of two passing touchdowns. Godwin has now scored in four straight games and caught five passes in three straight. Even with his drops last week, you can expect him to be targeted often, and he’s a safe bet for a solid floor.


WR Michael Thomas, Saints vs. Buccaneers ($6,600). It’s tough to pass on Thomas on DraftKings because of the full-point PPR scoring. He hasn’t had a 2019-like game yet this year, at least not one that included a touchdown, but he does have two nine-catch, 100-plus-yard performancese and he scored his first TD last week. New Orleans will have to throw more in this game because of Tampa’s tough run defense, so Thomas could finally have an explosive performance like we saw so often last season. 

WR Donovan Peoples-Jones, Browns @ Chiefs ($3,000). Because we paid up at so many other positions, we have to look for extreme values at others. Enter DPJ, who’s played at least 56 percent of snaps in four of the past five games, including a season-high 69 percent last week. Cleveland could be forced to pass more in the second half this week, and while that actually hasn’t helped WRs against Kansas City most of the season, DPJ is the kind of big-play guy who only needs one to pay off this remarkably cheap price. 


TE Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. Browns ($7,700). It’s tempting to pay down for one of the other tight ends, all of whom cost at least $3,900 less than Kelce and many of whom also have favorable matchups, but it really doesn’t make sense given DraftKings scoring. With a full point per perception and a bonus for 100-yard games (Kelce had six of this year), Kelce has a significantly higher floor and ceiling than everyone else. 

FLEX Demarcus Robinson, Chiefs vs. Browns ($3,600). It was tough finding a flex for this lineup, but Robinson makes sense with Sammy Watkins (calf) ailing. He always plays a significant amount of snaps, and that was especially true in Weeks 6-11 when Watkins was out. Robinson averaged 3.8 catches, 4.6 targets, and 42.8 yards with two total TDs in that span, which isn’t great, but we know any Chiefs receiver has big-time upside in a must-win game. Going with Deonte Harris ($3,500) and hoping for a second straight seven-catch game or taking a chance with a TD-or-bust guy like Rob Gronkowski ($3,500) or Cameron Brate ($2,900) are other options, but we like Robinson to pick up the slack for Watkins.

D/ST New Orleans Saints vs. Buccaneers ($3,100). The Saints defensive numbers in two games against Tampa this year are staggering: Six sacks, six takeaways, one defensive TD, 26 total offensive points allowed. It might be a trap to expect a third good performance, but it’s tough to feel great about the Browns or Bucs, and Kansas City is too expensive for this lineup, so let’s hope for a hat trick.

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Broncos linebacker Von Miller under criminal investigation



Broncos linebacker Von Miller under criminal investigation

Broncos All-Pro linebacker Von Miller is reportedly under a criminal investigation.

Mike Klis of Denver TV station K-USA reported Friday that Miller is under investigation by the Parker (Colo.) Police Department. The department declined to comment on the nature of the investigation, which is still underway. Per multiple reports, whatever allegations Miller faces surfaced only recently.

MORE: NFL mock draft for 2021

The Parker investigation into Miller further clouds his future with the Broncos. The club has yet to decide whether it will pick up the 2021 option for the eight-time Pro Bowler, three-time First-Team All-Pro and Super Bowl 50 MVP. Miller, 31, is due $17.5 million in 2021 in the final year of his contract with the Broncos (per Spotrac).

The Broncos — who are aware of the investigation — have till mid-March to make their decision; letting him go would result in a $4.23 million dead cap hit.

Miller missed the entire 2020 season after dislocating his peroneal tendon in early September. That came a season after he tallied eight sacks in 2019, his second-lowest season total after a five-sack season in 2013. For his career, Miller has totaled 490 tackles, 106 sacks, nine fumble recoveries and two interceptions.

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Divisional Round Sunday FanDuel Picks: NFL DFS lineup advice for daily fantasy football playoff tournaments



Divisional Round Sunday FanDuel Picks: NFL DFS lineup advice for daily fantasy football playoff tournaments

Sunday’s two-game divisional round slate features some of the biggest stars in the NFL, as the Browns-Chiefs and Buccaneers-Saints are settle to battle it out. Building DFS lineups on short playoff slates is never easy, but when you factor in tough defenses and worrisome injuries, it gets even more difficult. We’re opting for a few “sure things” in our FanDuel tournament lineup, but our picks are also relying on more than a few value sleepers.

Our central stack will likely be pretty chalky, as we’re paying up for the Chiefs trio of Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and Travis Kelce. From there, we have one more bonafide “star” and a bunch of boom-or-bust sleepers. We’ll be the first to admit this lineup has questions, but those types of lineups can easily cash in the playoffs, so let’s get weird!

MORE DIVISIONAL ROUND DFS: Top values | Lineup Builder

Divisional Round Sunday FanDuel Picks: NFL DFS tournament playoff lineup

QB Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs vs. Browns ($9,200). You could pick any of the four starting QBs this week and be fine, but we’re going with the best — and most expensive. Mahomes has the best matchup of the four, and while he might be chalky and/or limit your potential at other positions, he simply has the highest ceiling. Kansas City will not lean on its lackluster running game, so you know Mahomes will have to be a do-it-all force.

RB Kareem Hunt, Browns @ Chiefs ($6,200). It’s easy to play up the “revenge” factor here, but the bottom line is Kansas City struggles against the run and Hunt can put up yards in a variety of ways. He usually sees at least eight touches, and in a game where Cleveland figures to try to run early and might be forced to pass more late, Hunt has a realistic chance of outperforming teammate Nick Chubb. Regardless, he’s a relative value compared to Chubb ($8,200) and Alvin Kamara ($9,000), so if you’re willing to take the risk of fading Chubb, Hunt makes sense.


RB Taysom Hill, Saints vs. Buccaneers ($5,100). Hill’s knee injury has us worried, but if he plays, he’s a tremendous value. In two games against Tampa this year, he posted 86 passing yards, 67 rushing yards, and 35 receiving yards. He figures to get at least six touches, and given his extreme efficiency and the way in which New Orleans uses him, that can be enough for him to pay off. If something were to happen to Drew Brees, Hill would really outperform his price. There’s a low floor here, but at this price, it makes sense to take a chance on Hill.

WR Tyreek Hill, Chiefs vs. Browns ($8,800). This T. Hill isn’t a risk, as the Chiefs’ speedster is basically guaranteed production. He has the best matchup for any WR on Sunday, and you know he’ll be targeted all over the field. Pay up and enjoy.

WR Michael Thomas, Saints vs. Buccaneers ($7,200). Thomas has averaged six catches and 70.6 yards per game since initially returning from injury in Week 9. He’s been dinged up again since then, but in his first game back last week, he caught five passes for 73 yards and a score. In a game where New Orleans figures to have a tough time running, Thomas should see significant targets, putting him in position for his best game of the year. Don’t miss out, especially at this price. 

WR Rashard Higgins, Browns @ Chiefs ($5,300). The popular narrative with teams against the Chiefs is that they fall behind big and are forced to pass a lot in the second half, thus benefitting receivers. That sounds good, but it didn’t really happen this year, as Kansas City allowed the third-fewest FanDuel points to WRs. So, our use of Higgins isn’t necessarily based on that narrative; it’s more due to his consistent targets (6.8 over the past five games) and his ability to get loose for both big plays and intermediate gains. Also, we needed to pay down after paying up for Mahomes, Hill, Thomas, and Travis Kelce, and unless we wanted to add another Chiefs pass-catcher, we didn’t have many viable options. If you don’t like Higgins, Emmanuel Sanders ($5,700) makes the most sense.


TE Travis Kelce, Chiefs vs. Browns ($8,500). Jared Cook ($5,600) and Austin Hooper ($5,500) have favorable matchups and are much cheaper, but Kelce’s is actually the most favorable, as the Browns give up the third-most FanDuel points to TEs. More than that, Kelce is basically like playing a WR2 at TE, so even though he costs a lot, you know you’re getting elite production.

FLEX Rob Gronkowski, Buccaneers @ Saints ($5,600). This one is a gut feeling, and there are plenty of other options to consider if you don’t like Gronk. He was shut out on just one target last week, so we don’t expect many to be on him, especially with Cook and Hooper in better matchups at similar prices. Still, we can’t shake the feeling that Gronk is due for a big play or touchdown, and we know Tampa will be throwing often. Again, there are plenty of other options, including the aforementioned TEs, WRs like Sanders, or whoever starts at RB for the Chiefs, but we’re taking a chance and hoping for some differentiation here.

D/ST Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Saints ($3,500). Admittedly, this play doesn’t make a ton of sense when looking at the rest of our lineup, but it’s the only defense other than the Browns we could afford. We could make some tweaks to get the Chiefs or Saints, but we’re fine with the Bucs, who generally make teams one-dimensional, which creates more opportunities for sacks and INTs. New Orleans can score a few TDs and the Bucs can still pay off, so we’re hoping for some big plays.

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